Email math

Email List Growth Calculator

Lists shrink by default — churn eats 20–30% a year — so growth only counts after subtracting the leavers.

Monthly email list growth rate = (subscribers gained − unsubscribes) ÷ list size × 100. A list of 8,000 that adds 400 subscribers and loses 120 in a month nets 280 new subscribers — a 3.5% monthly growth rate, which compounds to roughly 51% over a year if sustained. Gross signups flatter every list; the net rate is the one that predicts next year's revenue, because unsubscribes and hard bounces quietly offset acquisition. Enter your monthly numbers to see the growth rate and net adds.

Email List Growth Calculator — your numbers

Monthly growth rate

3.5%

Net new subscribers

280

Estimate only. Results reflect exactly the numbers you enter — verify against your own accounting before making pricing decisions.

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Worked examples

Healthy growing list

Subscribers gained 400
Unsubscribes + bounces 120
List size 8000
Monthly growth rate 3.5%
Net new subscribers 280

3.5% monthly growth — enough to roughly cut the list-doubling time to 20 months.

Popup-powered growth push

Subscribers gained 900
Unsubscribes + bounces 150
List size 8000
Monthly growth rate 9.4%
Net new subscribers 750

A strong signup month nets 9.4% growth — the pace aggressive stores target.

Frequently asked questions

What is a good monthly list growth rate?

For an established e-commerce list, 2–5% net monthly growth is healthy; above 5% is aggressive and usually means a strong popup or lead magnet is working. Early-stage lists post bigger percentages off small bases — judge those in absolute subscribers instead. Flat or negative growth means churn is winning and acquisition needs attention before anything else.

Should bounces count as lost subscribers?

Yes — hard bounces are gone as surely as unsubscribes, and counting them keeps the growth rate honest. Include addresses your platform suppresses for repeated soft bounces and spam complaints too. Some merchants also subtract subscribers scrubbed in list-cleaning; do so in the month you clean, and expect an ugly but truthful growth number that month.

How fast do email lists decay naturally?

Typical e-commerce lists lose 20–30% of their subscribers per year to unsubscribes, bounces, and abandoned inboxes — roughly 2% a month before you add anyone. That is the treadmill this calculator measures: a list of 8,000 needs about 160 new subscribers monthly just to stand still, which is why signup capture is permanent infrastructure, not a campaign.

Is a bigger list always better?

No — engaged size beats raw size. Unengaged subscribers depress open rates, which mailbox providers read as a spam signal that hurts delivery to your best customers. A 10,000-subscriber list opening at 35% out-earns a 40,000 list opening at 8%. Grow the list, but prune subscribers who have not opened in 6–12 months to protect deliverability.

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Part of the Conversion & Email collection.