Worked examples
Healthy growing list
| Subscribers gained | 400 |
| Unsubscribes + bounces | 120 |
| List size | 8000 |
| Monthly growth rate | 3.5% |
| Net new subscribers | 280 |
3.5% monthly growth — enough to roughly cut the list-doubling time to 20 months.
Popup-powered growth push
| Subscribers gained | 900 |
| Unsubscribes + bounces | 150 |
| List size | 8000 |
| Monthly growth rate | 9.4% |
| Net new subscribers | 750 |
A strong signup month nets 9.4% growth — the pace aggressive stores target.
Frequently asked questions
What is a good monthly list growth rate?
For an established e-commerce list, 2–5% net monthly growth is healthy; above 5% is aggressive and usually means a strong popup or lead magnet is working. Early-stage lists post bigger percentages off small bases — judge those in absolute subscribers instead. Flat or negative growth means churn is winning and acquisition needs attention before anything else.
Should bounces count as lost subscribers?
Yes — hard bounces are gone as surely as unsubscribes, and counting them keeps the growth rate honest. Include addresses your platform suppresses for repeated soft bounces and spam complaints too. Some merchants also subtract subscribers scrubbed in list-cleaning; do so in the month you clean, and expect an ugly but truthful growth number that month.
How fast do email lists decay naturally?
Typical e-commerce lists lose 20–30% of their subscribers per year to unsubscribes, bounces, and abandoned inboxes — roughly 2% a month before you add anyone. That is the treadmill this calculator measures: a list of 8,000 needs about 160 new subscribers monthly just to stand still, which is why signup capture is permanent infrastructure, not a campaign.
Is a bigger list always better?
No — engaged size beats raw size. Unengaged subscribers depress open rates, which mailbox providers read as a spam signal that hurts delivery to your best customers. A 10,000-subscriber list opening at 35% out-earns a 40,000 list opening at 8%. Grow the list, but prune subscribers who have not opened in 6–12 months to protect deliverability.
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Part of the Conversion & Email collection.