Dropshipping math

Dropshipping Break-even ROAS Calculator

Ads are your biggest cost — which makes your break-even ROAS the single number your store lives or dies on.

For dropshipping, break-even ROAS = price ÷ (price − supplier cost − supplier shipping − processing). There is no warehouse or pick-pack line, but supplier shipping is heavy and ads do all the selling. A $40 product costing $14 from the supplier plus $6 supplier shipping and $1.46 processing keeps $18.54 — break-even ROAS about 2.2×. Because paid traffic drives nearly every order, running below that floor even briefly burns cash fast. Enter your numbers to get your exact floor.

Dropshipping Break-even ROAS Calculator — your per-order numbers

Break-even ROAS

2.16×

Break-even ACOS

46.3%

Target ROAS

3.19×

Margin / order

$18.54

At 46.3% gross margin, spend up to 46.3% of revenue on ads to break even.

Estimate only. Figures assume the costs you entered are complete and per-order; they exclude returns, overhead, and taxes.

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Dropshipping fees in this calculation

Presets reflect typical Dropshipping economics (verified 2026-07-23) — adjust every field to your actual numbers. Estimates only.

Supplier product cost The AliExpress/CJ/private-agent unit price your quote
Supplier shipping Often the second-largest cost — never skip it $4–$12 typical
Payment processing Stripe/PayPal standard card rates ~2.9% + 30¢

Worked examples

Typical dropship product

Selling price $40.00
All per-order costs $21.46
Contribution margin $18.54
Break-even ROAS 2.16×

Supplier cost + supplier shipping = the real "COGS" of dropshipping.

Thin-margin trending product

Selling price $25.00
All per-order costs $18.03
Contribution margin $6.97
Break-even ROAS 3.59×

Only $6.97 margin — a 3.6× floor most ad accounts cannot sustain.

Break-even ROAS by margin — quick reference

Gross margin (after fees)Break-even ROAS
20% 5.00×
25% 4.00×
33% 3.03×
40% 2.50×
50% 2.00×
60% 1.67×

Frequently asked questions

What is a good ROAS for dropshipping?

Higher than for stores holding inventory: dropship margins are thinner and paid ads drive nearly all revenue. Most viable dropship products need a break-even ROAS of 2–3.5×, so profitable campaigns typically run 3–5×. Compute your own floor before trusting any benchmark.

Should I include supplier shipping in the calculation?

Always. Supplier shipping is frequently $4–$12 per order — often more than processing fees and sometimes rivaling the product cost. Leaving it out is the most common reason dropshippers think a losing campaign is profitable.

Why did my profitable campaign become unprofitable at scale?

Scaling raises CPMs and reaches colder audiences, so ROAS falls toward — then through — your break-even. Knowing the exact floor tells you when to cap budgets: the campaign is over the cliff the day its ROAS crosses that line, not when cash runs out.

How do refunds and chargebacks change my floor?

Dropshipping return and chargeback rates run higher than average because of long shipping times. Every refunded order pays supplier costs twice (product out, revenue back). Add a 5–15% buffer above the calculated floor depending on your dispute rate.

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